Estonia vs Italy Prediction 11 October 2025
Added on 09 October, 2025
In Group I of the 2026 World Cup qualifiers, Estonia will host Italy in Tallinn, looking to build on a rare moment of success in an otherwise difficult campaign.
The Baltic side recently stunned Moldova 3–2 away, earning their first points after a string of losses to Israel (1–2, 1–3), Norway (0–1), and Italy (0–5). With three points and a goal difference of 5–13, Estonia sit fourth in the standings — a position that accurately reflects their current level. Still, they will be eager to prove they can compete respectably against Europe’s elite.
Italy, meanwhile, recovered well after a disastrous start to qualifying. An opening 0–3 defeat to Norway derailed their hopes of topping the group, but since then the Azzurri have defeated Moldova (2–0), Estonia (5–0), and Israel (5–4). Under Gennaro Gattuso, Italy have found their attacking rhythm, netting 12 goals in four matches and sitting second with nine points.
The visitors enter this fixture as overwhelming favorites. Estonia have little left to play for beyond pride, while Italy are motivated to secure their place at the top of the group. Given the vast difference in class and recent form, another comfortable win for the Azzurri appears the most likely outcome.
Italy to win with -2.5 Asian handicap 1.94