Moldova vs Italy Prediction 13 November 2025

Moldova’s campaign has been nothing short of disastrous. Sitting fifth in the group with just one point and a staggering goal difference of 4:26, the Tricolor have fallen far from the form that once saw them fight until the final moments for a place at Euro 2024. Their only consolation so far was a 1–1 draw with Estonia, following defeats of 2–3 to the same opponent, 0–2 to Italy, 0–4 to Israel, and a humiliating 1–11 loss to Norway.

Italy, on the other hand, have enjoyed a strong resurgence under new head coach Gennaro Gattuso. The Azzurri have won all five of their recent qualifiers, defeating Moldova (2–0), Estonia (5–0, 3–1), and Israel (5–4, 3–0). They currently occupy second place with 15 points and a goal difference of 18:8, comfortably positioned to reach the World Cup—most likely through the playoffs—with qualification odds estimated at 99%.

For Italy, maintaining momentum and finishing the qualifying cycle on a high note remains a matter of pride. For Moldova, there is little left to salvage. Given the gulf in class and form, the encounter is expected to end in another emphatic victory for the Italians.

Italy to win with -2.5 Asian handicap 1.50