Netherlands vs Lithuania Prediction 17 November 2025

The Oranje enter the fixture in complete control of their group, sitting top with 17 points and an imposing 23–4 goal difference. Ronald Koeman’s side are on the brink of securing their World Cup berth, and their recent form underlines why.

Across their last five outings, the Dutch have recorded two 1–1 draws against Poland, alongside convincing wins over Lithuania (3–2), Malta (4–0), and Finland (4–0). The balance of attacking firepower and defensive organisation has kept them comfortably ahead of the pack.

Lithuania, by contrast, continue to struggle. Winless in the current qualifying cycle, they have managed draws against Malta (0–0, 1–1) but fell short against the Netherlands (2–3), Finland (1–2), and Poland (0–2). With just three points and a 6–11 goal difference, they remain anchored in fifth place and firmly regarded as one of Europe’s weaker sides.

Given the standings and the gulf in quality, the Netherlands are unlikely to need full intensity to take all three points. Still, Lithuania have avoided any heavy defeats so far, showing enough resilience to suggest they could close out their campaign in similar fashion. The outcome seems predictable, but the margin may depend on how aggressively the Oranje choose to approach the match.

Lithuania to win with +3.5 Asian handicap 1.70