Italy vs Moldova Prediction 9 June 2025

The Italians are reeling from a string of disappointing results, having been knocked out of the Nations League playoffs by Germany (1:2, 3:3 on aggregate) and then suffering a stunning 0:3 loss to Norway in their opening qualifier—a result that significantly damaged their chances of topping Group I. These setbacks have left the Azzurri frustrated and desperate to get their campaign back on track.

Moldova, meanwhile, hasn't fared any better. They’ve been thrashed in both of their qualifiers so far, conceding eight goals in total—first a crushing 0:5 defeat to Norway, followed by a narrow but chaotic 2:3 loss to Estonia. Most recently, they were outclassed 0:2 by Poland in a friendly, a match that only reinforced concerns about their lack of form and cohesion heading into the qualifiers.

On paper and in practice, Italy are overwhelming favorites. The quality gap is obvious, and given their recent stumbles, they’ll be looking to restore confidence with a dominant display. A fired-up Italy playing at home, likely with something to prove, could well deliver a harsh lesson to Moldova. A decisive Italian victory seems not only likely but expected.

Italy to win with -2.5 Asian handicap 1.76