Sоbоlenkо vs Pegula Prediction 11 September 2026

Sоbоlenkо is ranked No. 1 in the WTA rankings, while Pegula occupies third place.

Sоbоlenkо has been extremely consistent throughout the tournament. She defeated Linda Noskova (2:1), Taylor Townsend (2:0), Kamilla Rakhimova (2:0), Polina Iatcenko (2:0) and Maria Camila Osorio Serrano (2:0). Four of those five victories came without dropping a set, highlighting her strong level on hard courts.

Pegula has also reached the semi-final with an unbeaten run. She beat Emma Navarro (2:1), Sorana Cirstea (2:0), Leylah Fernandez (2:1), Sofia Kenin (2:0) and Elena Gabriela Ruse (2:0). Her ability to win in both straight sets and tougher three-set contests underlines her consistency.

The matchup should be decided by the contrast between Sоbоlenkо's aggressive power and Pegula's ability to stay composed and extend rallies. Sоbоlenkо's recent results give her the edge, particularly after four consecutive straight-set victories. Pegula has shown enough quality to make this competitive, but Sabalenka appears better positioned to control the key exchanges.

The 1.52 price on Sоbоlenkо reflects her status as the favorite, but her current form makes that position understandable. She has been particularly dominant through the latter stages of the tournament and has dropped only one set across her five matches.

Sоbоlenkо to win at 1.52