Alexander Hernandez vs Rafael dos Anjos Prediction 4 October 2026

The 33-year-old American fighter Alexander Hernandez has a professional record of 18-9. His fighting style is based on aggressive striking, explosive speed, and elements of freestyle wrestling. Hernandez secured victories over Austin Hubbard and Kurt Holobaugh, knocked out Chase Hooper and Diego Ferreira, before losing to Rafa Garcia by unanimous decision.

The 41-year-old representative of Brazil, Rafael dos Anjos, has 32 wins and 17 losses on his record. The former UFC champion is a well-rounded fighter with a Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt and a strong Muay Thai background. In his latest fights, dos Anjos suffered a knockout loss to Rafael Fiziev, defeated Bryan Barberena by submission, then lost by unanimous decision to Vicente Luque and Mateusz Gamrot, as well as suffering a knockout defeat to Geoff Neal.

Alexander will look to take control in the striking exchanges from the opening minutes thanks to his fresher legs and high pace. The experienced Rafael will look for opportunities to take the fight to the ground and engage in prolonged clinch work. However, the American's superior athleticism and takedown defense should allow him to neutralize the Brazilian veteran's strengths. Ultimately, the most likely scenario is a decision victory for Hernandez through distance control and activity.

Alexander Hernandez to win by decision at 2.69