Belgium vs Italy Prediction 15 November 2026

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Belgium vs Italy Prediction 15 November 2026

Belgium host Italy at King Baudouin Stadium in Brussels on 15 November in the sixth round of the UEFA Nations League League A.

The hosts are ranked eighth in the FIFA standings, with Italy in 15th place. Both teams have shown mixed form in recent matches, making this an important test as the league phase reaches its conclusion.

Belgium are priced at 1.63 to win on home soil. They have won two of their last five matches, while Italy have claimed three victories, drawn once and lost once. However, Belgium already defeated Italy 2-0 away from home on 25 September. The hosts will be looking to repeat that performance in Brussels, where home advantage could prove decisive.

Belgium's recent results have been inconsistent. They lost 1-2 to Spain on 10 July before beating Italy 2-0 away on 25 September. A 0-1 home defeat against France followed, but Belgium responded with a convincing 3-0 victory over Turkey on 2 October. Their latest outing ended in a 1-4 loss away to France. Belgium have scored seven goals and conceded seven across these five fixtures, showing that their defence remains vulnerable against strong attacking sides.

Italy have produced some encouraging results but have also struggled against top opposition. They beat Greece 1-0 on 7 June and then lost 0-2 at home to Belgium on 25 September. Italy bounced back with a 4-1 victory over Turkey before drawing 1-1 away to France. Their latest match brought a 3-1 win against Turkey. They have scored nine goals and conceded five in these five games.

Belgium have already shown they can exploit Italy's weaknesses, winning the previous meeting by two goals. Their attacking quality and home advantage should help them take the initiative, although Italy's recent improvement means the hosts cannot expect an easy contest. The visitors may threaten on the counterattack, but Belgium have the tools to control the match and create enough chances.

Italy's form makes this a competitive fixture, yet Belgium's previous victory in the head-to-head meeting offers encouragement. With home support behind them, the hosts have a good opportunity to secure another important win.

Belgium to win at 1.63

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