Renato Moicano vs Tom Nolan Prediction 1 November 2026

The 37-year-old Renato Moicano enters this matchup with a professional record of 21 wins, 7 losses and 1 draw. His style is built around Brazilian jiu-jitsu, complemented by a versatile Muay Thai skill set. In his previous fights, the Brazilian lost to Islam Makhachev by submission and Beneil Dariush by unanimous decision. However, Moicano managed to bounce back from two consecutive setbacks by defeating Chris Duncan via a choke submission in the second round.

The 26-year-old Australian Tom Nolan has recorded 11 wins and just one loss in his professional career. His arsenal includes jiu-jitsu techniques and effective striking, while his physical attributes allow him to take advantage of his height and reach. The Australian has been producing excellent results and enters this bout on a five-fight winning streak. In his recent appearances, he finished Victor Martinez via technical knockout, defeated Alex Reyes and Viacheslav Borshchev by unanimous decision, forced Charlie Campbell to submit and earned a points victory over Fares Ziam.

Nolan holds significant advantages in age and physical freshness, while his current winning streak further boosts his confidence ahead of this matchup. At the same time, Moicano has extensive experience against the division's elite and can pose serious problems for any opponent on the ground. If the Brazilian manages to utilise his grappling skills and take his opponent to the canvas, his jiu-jitsu could play a decisive role. However, the Australian's high pace and physical conditioning make him a strong candidate to win by decision or secure a technical knockout in the later rounds.

Tom Nolan to win at 1.9