S.L. Benfica vs SSC Napoli Prediction 10 December 2025

Benfica’s 2–0 win over Ajax a fortnight ago offered only limited relief. Before that, the Portuguese runners-up endured a painful run of defeats to Qarabag (2–3), Chelsea (0–1), Newcastle (0–3) and Bayer Leverkusen (0–1). As a result, they sit 30th in the overall Champions League standings, having collected just three points with a goal difference of 4–8.

Napoli, meanwhile, occupy 20th place with seven points and a 6–9 goal record—numbers that also fail to accurately reflect the team’s pedigree. The Partenopei managed home victories over Sporting (2–1) and Qarabag (2–0), but they struggled in heavier losses to Manchester City (0–2) and PSV (2–6), and were held to a goalless draw by Eintracht Frankfurt.

On current form, there is little separating the two sides. Both José Mourinho and Antonio Conte have adopted disciplined, risk-averse tactical approaches in recent weeks, prioritising structure over expansive play. Given that context—and the high stakes of the final group match—this encounter seems unlikely to devolve into a goal-heavy affair. Instead, Lisbon may be set for a tight, controlled contest in which moments of precision outweigh the pursuit of spectacle.

Under 2.5 goals in the match 1.86